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Risks

 

A plume occurs when chemicals are carried in moving fluid. Laminar flow occurs when a fluid moves in "straight lines" through an area. A plume under laminar flow conditions can be visualized by thinking of a smokestack on a day when the wind is blowing steadily. The smoke plume moves with the fluid and spreads out as a cone turned on its side. Chemical plumes are a "worse-case" scenario.

Plumes of toxins are not observed at the Stauffer Site. Unlike most sites the Stauffer site is tidally influenced and the groundwater flow can be reversed near the Anclote river. This sets up a complex hydrology that is atypical since underground mixing can occur.  This may be beneficial, since toxins are more readily dispersed. It also may result in reduced stability of in situ stabilized structures.

 

Decisions arrived at during the course of a Superfund Cleanup are made using mathematical formulas to calculate the amount of risk associated with a course of action. The Remedial Investigation phase of the cleanup is meant to provide the data (raw numbers) used in risk calculations. During the Feasibility Study Phase the raw data is applied in risk "algorithms" to project the effect a cleanup option has on the risk to humans and the environment. Risk calculations consider exposure pathways,  amount of exposure under both commercial and residential scenarios, toxic nature of the chemicals, and "conservative" factoring. These elements are discussed below.

 

Exposure Pathways

An exposure pathway is a route by which a chemical moves in the environment to threaten humans, animals, or plants. For example, a chemical that dissolves in water can move downward from rainwater action and laterally from groundwater flowing underground. The chemical may move toward a well from pumping activity. Therefore, the risk for groundwater is calculated based on the chemical's mobility (solubility in water and the nature of the soil), the amount of rainfall, the groundwater flowrate, and the presence of the active wells. Besides groundwater chemicals can move with rainwater erosion laterally across a site, can move as windborne particles, or can be biologically transported by absorption/locomotion in plants and animals.

Amount of exposure under both commercial and residential scenarios

The future use of the land effects the risk calculation. Exposure to a chemical can be 24 hours per day in a residence. Children and the elderly are often more susceptible to chemical injury and are not likely to be present at a commercial site.  Commercial exposure is usually limited to the 40-hour work week.  Also, the type of commercial activity is important. Skin contact with the ground is unlikely in an office, but very common in agricultural activities. Generally the EPA uses risk calculation that are "orders of magnitude" (powers of ten) different for commercial and residential. Residential exposure tends to involve more pathways as well. Chemicals can become attached to clothing from drying outside on a clothesline, for example, whereas in a commercial scenario the exposure would be limited to only direct contact.

 

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